Sabato's Crystal Ball

Wisconsin (07) House 2010

 

Crystal Ball Outlook: Leans R

Democratic candidate: Julie Lassa

Republican candidate: Sean Duffy

Recent Updates from the Crystal Ball

Update: October 14, 2010

This open-seat contest, where Democrat David Obey had served for over 40 years before announcing his retirement, also seems like an increasingly likely prospect for a GOP takeover. A recent nonpartisan poll from The Hill newspaper had former Real World cast member and current Republican nominee Sean Duffy leading Democratic legislator Julie Lassa by a 44%-35% margin with voters disapproving of Obama by roughly the same margin, despite the district’s usual Democratic tilt in presidential election years. Lassa’s own polling had earlier shown her trailing only slightly, while NRCC polling had suggested a double-digit lead. However large the lead, all sides now seem to acknowledge it belongs to the GOP. This race is  Leans Republican.