Sabato's Crystal Ball

Washington (02) House 2010

Crystal Ball Outlook: Leans D

Democratic candidate: Rick Larsen, Incumbent

Republican candidate: John Koster, Snohomish County Councilman

Recent updates from the Crystal Ball

Update: October 6, 2010

Elected in 2000, Democratic incumbent Rick Larsen is facing his toughest reelection challenge to date as he faces off against Republican nominee John Koster. Koster’s conservative policies on social issues and his emphasis on reducing taxes have given him a decent electoral base. However, Larsen has put together a mostly liberal voting record, along with some conservative votes on economic policy. In a district that voted 55% to 42% in favor of Obama, a liberal track record should lead to a victory for Larsen and the Democrats. This district is Likely Democratic.