Sabato's Crystal Ball

South Dakota (Al) House 2010

Crystal Ball Outlook: Leans R

Democratic candidate: Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, Incumbent

Republican candidate: Kristi Noem, State Representative

Recent updates from the Crystal Ball

Background:

Democratic incumbent Stephanie Herseth Sandlin is facing Republican challenger and state Representative Kristi Noem in a heated race for South Dakota’s Representative-at-Large. A conservative Democrat, and a member of the Blue Dog coalition, Sandlin has her party’s strong support and she maintains a financial edge over her opponent. Still, Noem has the advantages of also having her party’s support and challenging an incumbent at a time when an anti-incumbent sentiment is sweeping the country. This close race remains a Toss-Up.