Sabato's Crystal Ball

New Hampshire (02) House 2010

Crystal Ball Outlook: Leans R

Democratic candidate: Ann Kuster, attorney

Republican candidate: Charlie Bass, former Representative

Recent updates from the Crystal Ball

Background:

The open seat for New Hampshire’s second congressional district has generated a lot of interest before the September 14th primary, especially among Republicans. The Republican candidates are former Representative Charlie Bass, 2008 nominee Jennifer Horn, former Representative Robert Guida, Joseph Reilly, and Wesley Sonner. The Democratic candidates are attorney Ann McLane Kuster and 2002 nominee Katrina Swett.

The second district is the more Democratic of New Hampshire’s two congressional districts. Still, given the increased interests of Republicans and dissatisfaction with Democrats among some voters, the Republicans have a slight advantage at this early stage. So, this race Leans Republican.