Sabato's Crystal Ball

Indiana (08) House 2010

 

Crystal Ball Outlook: Likely R

Democratic candidate: Trent VanHaaften, state Senator

Republican candidate: Larry Bucschon, doctor

Recent updates from the Crystal Ball

Background:

This should be an exciting race since Rep. Ellsworth is not running for reelection. Instead State Rep. Trent VanHaaften, a Democrat, will face heart surgeon Larry Bucshon, a Republican, both hoping to become the next congressman for the 8th District. The district includes parts of Indiana that are historically Democratic and Republican and as a result the district is nicknamed “Bloody 8th” for its tight Congressional races.

This race will be close and so far it seems off to heated start. But one decisive factor will probably be who can put their party’s support to better use and successfully appeal to various constituencies. This district is a Likely Republican hold.