Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/wav2006102501/
Export date: Thu Dec 14 0:14:03 2017 / +0000 GMT

Crystal Ball Table for October 26 Email


Table 1. How High the Midterm Wave?

Year President HOUSE

Gain or Loss
SENATE

Gain or Loss
Size of Wave For or Against President
1946 Truman (D) -55 -12 High Against
1950* Truman (D) -29 -6 Medium Against
1954 Eisenhower (R) -18 -1 Low Against
1958* Eisenhower (R) -48 -13 High Against
1962 Kennedy (D) -4 +3 Low Neutral/For
1966* Johnson (D) -47 -4 High Against
1970 Nixon (R) -12 +2 Low Neutral/Against
1974* Ford (R) -48 -5 High Against
1978 Carter (D) -15 -3 Low Against
1982 Reagan (R) -26 +1 Medium Against
1986* Reagan (R) -5 -8 Medium Against
1990 Bush (R) -9 -1 Low Neutral/Against
1992 Clinton (D) -52 -9 High Against
1996* Clinton (D) +5 0 Low For
2002 Bush (R) +6 +2 Low For
2006* Bush (R) -20 plus -4 to -6 Medium or High Against

* Indicates a "Sixth-Year Election." 2006 losses based on current Crystal Ball projections.

Post date: 2006-10-26 00:00:00
Post date GMT: 1970-01-01 04:59:59


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