Sabato's Crystal Ball

Crystal Ball Resources

UVA Center for Politics January 1st, 2008


The Crystal Ball recommends its best reads from both the bookstore and the web. Expand your scholarly know-how with the brightest in the business, and keep a watchful eye on political news with the most reliable sources in the media. You’ll be well on your way to being a seasoned pundit on your own.

Campbell, James E. The Presidential Pulse of Congressional Elections, 2nd ed. Lexington: University Press of Kentucky, 1997. Buy from

Campbell, James E. The American Campaign: U.S. Presidential Campaigns and Pre National Vote. College Station, TX: Texas A&M Press, 2000. Buy from

Campbell, James E. and James C. Garand. Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2000. Buy from

Lichtman, Alan. The Keys to the White House, 1996: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President. New York: Madison, 1996. Buy from

Mueller, John E. War, Presidents and Public Opinion. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1973. Buy from

Political Forecasting Special Interest Group –

Rosenstone, Steven J. Forecasting Presidential Elections. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1983. Buy from

Sabato, Larry J. Overtime! The Election 2000 Thriller. New York: Longman, 2001. Buy from

Symposium on Presidential Election Forecasting. PS: Political Science and Politics 34:1 (March 2001), pp. 9-48.

Tufte, Edward R. Political Control of the Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1978. Buy from