Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2008013101/
Export date: Sat Oct 21 19:13:02 2017 / +0000 GMT

THE NOVEMBER MATCH-UPS, AS SEEN FROM JANUARY


Professor Alan Abramowitz of Emory University, a long-time friend of the Crystal Ball, sent us the following table, summarizing the national polls in January 2008. Alan writes:

"At this point, John McCain is the only Republican candidate who appears to have a realistic chance of defeating either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama. McCain does dramatically better against both Democrats than any other Republican, and of course much better than a generic Republican. All of the other Republican candidates lose badly to Clinton and even more badly to Obama. Whether McCain can maintain his broad appeal while also trying to appeal to the conservative base of the GOP in the remaining primaries remains to be seen."

Match-Up Average Result (N)
Generic D vs. Generic R +16.6 Generic D (2)
Clinton vs. McCain -1.1 Clinton (+1.1 McCain) (6)
Clinton vs. Romney +13.2 Clinton (5)
Clinton vs. Huckabee +11.7 Clinton (6)
Clinton vs. Giuliani +10.8 Clinton (6)
Obama vs. McCain -1.0 Obama (+1.0 McCain) (6)
Obama vs. Romney +19.0 Obama (5)
Obama vs. Huckabee +16.5 Obama (6)
Obama vs. Giuliani +18.4 Obama (5)
Clinton Average +8.6
Obama Average +13.2
McCain Average +1.0
Romney Average -16.1
Huckabee Average -14.1
Giuliani Average -14.6

Source: Pollingreport.com, January 25, 2008.

Post date: 2008-01-31 00:00:00
Post date GMT: 1970-01-01 04:59:59


Export date: Sat Oct 21 19:13:02 2017 / +0000 GMT
This page was exported from Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball [ http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball ]
Export of Post and Page has been powered by [ Universal Post Manager ] plugin from www.ProfProjects.com