Sabato's Crystal Ball

Crystal Ball House Outlook

This is a test, this is only a test

Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics September 6th, 2006

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A Glance Inside the House Crystal Ball

Republican Held Seats in Play: 56 (176 Safe/Solid R)

Likely R (24) Leans R (10) Toss-up (18) Leans D (4) Likely D (0)
AZ-01 (Renzi) AZ-05 (Hayworth) AZ-08 (Kolbe) CO-07 (OPEN)
CA-11 (Pombo) CT-05 (Johnson) CT-02 (Simmons) IA-01 (OPEN)
CA-50 (Bilbray) CO-04 (Musgrave) CT-04 (Shays) PA-06 (Gerlach)
FL-09 (OPEN) NY-20 (Sweeney) FL-22 (Shaw) TX-22 (OPEN)
FL-13 (OPEN) OH-01 (Chabot) IL-06 (OPEN)
FL-16 (Foley) OH-15 (Pryce) IN-02 (Chocola)
ID-01 (OPEN) PA-08 (Fitzpatrick) IN-08 (Hostettler)
IL-10 (Kirk) TX-23 (Bonilla) IN-09 (Sodrel)
KY-02 (Lewis) WI-08 (OPEN) KY-04 (Davis)
KY-03 (Northup) WY-AL (Cubin) MN-06 (OPEN)
MN-01 (Gutknecht) NC-11 (Taylor)
MN-02 (Kline) NM-01 (Wilson)
NV-02 (OPEN) NY-24 (OPEN)
NV-03 (Porter) OH-18 (OPEN)
NH-01 (Bradley) PA-07 (Weldon)
NH-02 (Bass) PA-10 (Sherwood)
NJ-07 (Ferguson) VA-02 (Drake)
NY-03 (King) WA-08 (Reichert)
NY-19 (Kelly)
NY-25 (Walsh)
NY-29 (Reynolds)
NY-29 (Kuhl)
NC-08 (Hayes)
OH-02 (Schmidt)
WV-01 (Mollohan)
VT-AL (OPEN) WA-02 (Larsen)
TX-17 (Edwards) SC-05 (Spratt)
OH-06 (OPEN) OH-13 (OPEN)
IA-03 (Boswell) LA-03 (Melancon)
GA-12 (Barrow) IL-17 (OPEN)
IL-08 (Bean) GA-08 (Marshall) CO-03 (Salazar)
Likely R (0) Leans R (0) Toss-up (1) Leans D (7) Likely D (6)

Democratic Held Seats in Play: 14 (189 Safe/Solid D)

The Brutal B, September 2006: +12 to +15 D

Click here for individual House race analysis.