Sabato's Crystal Ball

Crystal Ball Governor Outlook

This is a test, this is only a test

Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics October 12th, 2006

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A Glance Inside the Governor Crystal Ball

Republican Held Seats up for Election in 2006: 22 (out of 28 held)

Solid R (6) Likely R (6) Leans R (3) Toss-up (2) Leans D (3) Likely D (1) Solid D (1)
CT (Rell) AL (Riley) AK (OPEN) MD (Ehrlich) AR (OPEN) OH (OPEN) NY (OPEN)
HI (Lingle) CA (Schwarzenegger) NV (OPEN) MN (Pawlenty) CO (OPEN)
NE (Heineman) FL (OPEN) RI (Carcieri) MA (OPEN)
SD (Rounds) GA (Perdue)
VT (Douglas) ID (OPEN)
TX (Perry) SC (Sanford)
WY (Freudenthal)
TN (Bredesen)
NM (Richardson)
OR (Kulongoski) WI (Doyle) NH (Lynch)
MI (Granholm) ME (Baldacci) PA (Rendell) OK (Henry)
IA (OPEN) IL (Blagojevich) KS (Sebelius) AZ (Napolitano)
Solid R (0) Likely R (0) Leans R (0) Toss-up (3) Leans D (3) Likely D (2) Solid D (6)

Democratic Held Seats up for Election: 14 (out of 22 held)

The Brutal B, October 2006: +4 to +6 D