September 3rd, 2004
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Thinking back on this busy week, what worked and what didn’t at the GOP Convention?
The Good
The convention itself appeared better thought out and executed than the Boston conclave for the Democrats. Even the physical set was far more imposing, especially the final-night presidential platform and the Fred Thompson-narrated introductory video. The convention speakers mixed positive [...]
September 2nd, 2004
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Make a list; check it twice
With President Bush six votes shy of the 270 needed to win the Electoral College–and 24 votes ahead of John Kerry–in The Hotline’s White House Scoreboard, tonight’s speech may prove to be the moment that wins him reelection. Tonight is George W. Bush’s chance to define a second-term agenda and [...]
September 2nd, 2004
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Bush: You either love him or you hate him
It’s proving to be a pretty divisive time in this political day and age with the number of undecided voters much smaller than usual, just two months out from Election Day. So it was no surprise last night then that retiring Georgia Senator Zell Miller, a Democrat [...]
September 1st, 2004
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Or, should we call it “Low-Speed Convention Wrap”
This Crystal Ball udpdate is coming to you live from the National Journal area in the Farley Building, adjacent to Madison Square Garden. In yet another move to make things hard on reporters, the convention folks have made Internet access a near impossibility if you don’t have a [...]
September 1st, 2004
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The GOP’s message for convention viewers this week has been very succinct: President Bush is the best candidate to lead the War on Terror. While the communications office here at the Republican National Convention has been telling the media each day has a theme–tonight’s was “People of Compassion”–if the focus of the election stays on [...]
August 31st, 2004
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Protest Update: The Crystal Ball Can’t Get No Love
Two incidents in the past few days have prompted the Crystal Ball to speak out about the protesters, or, if you will, protest the protesters. During the United for Peace and Justice rally on Sunday, as your Crystal Ball was exiting Madison Square Garden to grab a [...]
August 31st, 2004
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Twist and Shout
Just as the Republicans did this July in Boston, the Democrats have setup a rapid response center to spin the news coming out of Madison Square Garden. A direct twist of the banner that hung above President Bush when he declared an end to hostilities aboard the USS Abraham on May 1, 2003, [...]
August 30th, 2004
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Presidential election history suggests several verities that might apply as the GOP convenes in New York City:
1. Incumbent presidents usually get a convention bounce that is smaller, often about half to two-thirds, of their less well-known challengers in the other party.
Since John Kerry got a bounce estimated to be a mere two points overall–once all [...]
August 30th, 2004
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May We Present the Republican Candidates for U.S. Senate
While the focus of this week will be on President Bush, his first-term accomplishments and his plans for another, the Monday morning session showcased seven Republican candidates for Senate. After an introduction by National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) Chairman George Allen (R-VA), the candidates proceeded to deliver [...]
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