Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for the ‘2006 Governor’ Category

Crystal Ball Governor Outlook

This is a test, this is only a test

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

A Glance Inside the Governor Crystal Ball Republican Held Seats up for Election in 2006: 22 (out of 28 held) Solid R (6) Likely R (5) Leans R (4) Toss-up (2) Leans D (3) Likely D (1) Solid D (1) CT (Rell) AL (Riley) AK (OPEN) MD (Ehrlich) AR (OPEN) OH (OPEN) NY (OPEN) HI […]

The Brutal Bottom Line

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

With Election Day fast approaching, things are shaking out in terms of race outlooks. The following charts summarize the Crystal Ball’s current breakdown of the 2006 contests for Senate, House and Governor. Seats currently held by Republicans are printed in red text, and seats currently held by Democrats are printed in blue; party totals appear […]

Crystal Ball Governor Outlook

This is a test, this is only a test

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

A Glance Inside the Governor Crystal Ball Republican Held Seats up for Election in 2006: 22 (out of 28 held) Solid R (6) Likely R (6) Leans R (3) Toss-up (2) Leans D (3) Likely D (1) Solid D (1) CT (Rell) AL (Riley) AK (OPEN) MD (Ehrlich) AR (OPEN) OH (OPEN) NY (OPEN) HI […]

Crystal Ball Governor Outlook

This is a test, this is only a test

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

A Glance Inside the Governor Crystal Ball Republican Held Seats up for Election in 2006: 22 (out of 28 held) Solid R (5) Likely R (5) Leans R (6) Toss-up (2) Leans D (2) Likely D (1) Solid D (1) CT (Rell) AL (Riley) AK (OPEN) MA (OPEN) CO (OPEN) OH (OPEN) NY (OPEN) ID […]

Statehouses Gleam for Democrats in 2006

But all that Glisters is not Gold

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The Democrats may or may not score real breakthroughs in the houses of Congress in 2006 (see the Crystal Ball Email Archive on the 2006 House and Senate races), bu t it’s undeniable that they have opportunities galore in the Governorships this year. Opportunity is not reality, though, and on prior occasions the Democrats have […]

2006 Statehouse Rock

Governorships show stability in recent elections

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Take a look at the table below, which illustrates changes in party control of Governorships from FDR to George W. Bush over a span of six decades (1942-2004). What do you see? As usual, it all depends on what you are looking for. Most election years, especially in the last couple of decades, have produced […]

Governor 2006: The Democrats’ Most Promising Field of Battle?

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Partisan redistricting almost everywhere keeps the House of Representatives from demonstrating much of a political trend, unless the winds of change are hurricane-force. Senate contests are frequently idiosyncratic, distorted by the intense effects of incumbency and the massive spending of the wealthy. Moreover, only a third of the states feature Senate match-ups in any given […]