Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for February, 2018

Public Rates Presidents: Kennedy, Reagan, Obama at Top, Nixon, Johnson, Trump at Bottom

Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics poll measures views of recent chief executives at Presidents’ Day

As Americans prepare to celebrate Presidents’ Day, they rate John F. Kennedy and Ronald Reagan the best of recent chief executives, according to a new poll conducted by Ipsos in conjunction with the University of Virginia Center for Politics. The Center for Politics and Ipsos collaborated to survey Americans’ views of modern presidents and asked […]

Senate 2018: Republicans Still Have Plenty of Targets

And Democrats need all the breaks to win a majority

, Sabato's Crystal Ball

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Republicans have better than 50-50 odds to hold control of the U.S. Senate even in the event of a Democratic wave in November. — The reason is the map: Including the two independents who caucus with them, the Democrats are defending 26 of the 34 seats being contested this […]

The Districts That Will Determine the Next House Majority

Charting out the Democrats’ path to 218 seats, district by district

, Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball

KEY POINTS IN THIS ARTICLE: — In sketching out a potential path to a bare Democratic House majority of 218 seats out of 435, we found that in all likelihood the Democrats will need to win similar numbers of Republican-held seats won by Hillary Clinton as well as by Donald Trump in the last presidential […]