Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for November, 2010

’94 And ’10: Similarities, but Differences Too

, Senior Columnist

The memorable Republican victories of 1994 and 2010 are already linked as the two largest midterm landslides of the last half century. But one was not a duplicate of the other. The GOP came out of this year’s election with more seats in the House of Representatives than they did 16 years ago, but short […]

Tweets of the Week

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The Crystal Ball’s Tweets of the Week is a look back at the highlights of the past week in politics in snippets of 140 characters or less. To get this analysis as soon as news breaks, follow University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter by clicking here. […]

It’s “Otb” Time: One-Term Barack

WARNING: READERS ARE NOW ENTERING “THE IRONY ZONE” The wreckage of the Democratic Party is strewn just about everywhere. President Obama’s carefully constructed 2008 Electoral College breakthrough is now just broken, a long-ago memory of what might have been a lasting shift in partisan alignment. We have just entered the 2012 presidential election cycle, and […]

2010 by the Numbers

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

SENATE 37 The number of Senate races on the November ballot, the most since 1962. 2 The number of appointed U.S. senators to survive the election, Michael Bennet (D-CO) and Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY). The four others didn’t run: Ted Kaufman (D-DE), Roland Burris (D-IL), George LeMieux (R-FL), Carte Goodwin (D-WV). 1 The number of senators […]

The Results Are In!

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Tuesday night marked the end of yet another successful season for the Crystal Ball, the fifth congressional election cycle in which we have offered our predictions. It was a historic night for Republicans and a sobering one for Democrats who had seen the past two election cycles go their way. Because we believe in fundamentals […]

Obama’s Wake-Up Call

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

On Tuesday, President Obama received an unpleasant wake-up call from the American electorate, as the Republicans scored their biggest electoral gains since World War II. In the U.S. House of Representatives, the GOP swept to their largest majority since 1946, a stunning gain of over 60 seats. While the Republicans did not take control of […]

Election Eve Special

, U.Va. Center for Politics

SENATE The following are the closest Senate races as of election eve: AK, CO, IL, NV, PA, WA, and WV. The Crystal Ball predicts a net gain for Republicans of 8 seats in the Senate. They must pick up 10 seats to control the majority. GOVERNOR We have decided to change our rating in only […]