Archive for the ‘’ Category
Republicans in 1982 vs. Democrats today
July 29th, 2010
Rhodes Cook, Senior Columnist
The political scene is not a pretty one: A new president facing his first midterm election with declining approval ratings as his party struggles to keep the upper hand in Congress – all in the midst of a darkened political environment where the unemployment rate hovers around 10%.
It is a description, however, of both past [...]
Using the Generic Ballot to Forecast the 2010 State Legislative Elections
July 29th, 2010
Alan I. Abramowitz, Senior Columnist
Along with the entire House of Representatives and 37 U.S. Senate seats, voters this November will be going to the polls to elect thousands of state senators and representatives. Eighty-eight of the nation’s 99 state legislative chambers are up for election this year. And while these state legislative elections are less glamorous and attract far [...]
July 29th, 2010
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
The Crystal Ball’s Tweets of the Week is a look back at the highlights of the past week in politics in snippets of 140 characters or less. To get this analysis as soon as news breaks, follow University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter by clicking here.
11:03 [...]
State legislatures in play as redistricting looms
July 22nd, 2010
Tim Storey, Guest Columnist
Elections for the thousands of state legislative seats that determine partisan control of states are typically provincial battles drawing relatively little attention from national media. These legislative elections are often called hidden elections. However, the spotlight this November will spill over to these down-ballot races because redistricting is around the corner, so the results in [...]
July 22nd, 2010
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
One reason why people are attracted to politics is because, like sports, there are usually clear winners and losers. Moral ambiguity and shades of gray may overwhelm other sectors of life, but not the bottom-line of elections.
Only finality on November 2 really matters. Raising more money or winning a primary or seeing your opponent sink [...]
July 22nd, 2010
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
The Crystal Ball’s Tweets of the Week is a look back at the highlights of the past week in politics in snippets of 140 characters or less. To get this analysis as soon as news breaks, follow University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter by clicking here.
9:29 [...]
Where the GOP must win to capture the House
July 15th, 2010
Thomas F. Schaller, Guest Columnist
With a dozen weeks to go before the 2010 midterm elections, speculation is rising about the possibility of the Republicans retaking the House. On Sunday, that speculation rose to a fevered pitch when White House press secretary Robert Gibbs conceded during a Meet The Press appearance that there are enough House seats “in play” this [...]
COUNTRY ROADS, TAKE ME HOME (TO D.C.)
July 15th, 2010
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
West Virginia Senate—It is looking very likely that we’ll have a 37th Senate election to noodle about, the extra being held in the Mountain State to choose the successor to the late Senator Robert C. Byrd (D), the longest serving member of Congress in history who passed away on June 28. At first, all indications [...]
July 15th, 2010
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
The Crystal Ball’s Tweets of the Week is a look back at the highlights of the past week in politics in snippets of 140 characters or less. To get this analysis as soon as news breaks, follow University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter by clicking here.
9:47 [...]
Just Can’t Take Our Eyes Off of You
July 8th, 2010
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
With just four months to go before the voting in November, many races have settled in—falling into the D or R column as Solid, Likely, or Lean. But then, there are those stubborn toss-ups. Some are unmovable since the primaries haven’t yet been held and the nominees in one or both parties are unknown. Still [...]
July 8th, 2010
Isaac Wood, House Race Editor
While many people spent the July 4th weekend cooling off at the beach, the summer heat is still being felt in a number of marquee House matchups. As a result a few ratings changes are in order, as we explain below. As always you can visit the Crystal Ball website anytime for a complete chart [...]
July 8th, 2010
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
The Crystal Ball’s Tweets of the Week is a look back at the highlights of the past week in politics in snippets of 140 characters or less. To get this analysis as soon as news breaks, follow University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter by clicking here.
10:39 [...]
New Primary System Unlikely to Reduce Partisan Polarization and Gridlock in Golden State
July 1st, 2010
Alan I. Abramowitz, Senior Columnist
California voters recently approved a ballot initiative that would drastically alter the Golden State’s election system. Instead of the traditional two-stage electoral process with separate Democratic and Republican primaries followed by a general election between the major party nominees along with any independent or third party candidates, the new system would feature an open primary [...]
July 1st, 2010
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
The Crystal Ball’s Tweets of the Week is a look back at the highlights of the past week in politics in snippets of 140 characters or less. To get this analysis as soon as news breaks, follow University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter by clicking here.
9:27 [...]