Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for November, 2009

Tweets of the Week

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The Crystal Ball’s Tweets of the Week is a look back at the highlights of the past week in politics in snippets of 140 characters or less. To get this analysis as soon as news breaks, follow University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter by clicking here. […]

Senate Shake-Up, 2010

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Now that we’ve put the 2009 races to bed, we can start to focus heavily on 2010. Since our last update in June (available here), some critical Senate contests have undergone a transformation of sorts. We still don’t know the status of them all, since a few critical candidacy decisions remain to be made. But […]

American Democracy Conference Looks Ahead to 2010 Elections

University of Virginia Center for Politics and POLITICO to partner for midterm preview

Thursday, Dec. 3, 2009, 1 to 5 p.m. The Newseum, Washington, DC Please join the University of Virginia Center for Politics and POLITICO for the 11th annual American Democracy Conference. This year’s post-election conference will bring together today’s leading journalists, party insiders, and political analysts to examine the year’s key campaigns and elections, evaluate current […]

Tweets of the Week

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The Crystal Ball’s Tweets of the Week is a look back at the highlights of the past week in politics in snippets of 140 characters or less. To get this analysis as soon as news breaks, follow University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter by clicking here. […]

’09 Elections: Some Parting Thoughts

, Senior Columnist

No doubt off-year elections can be overanalyzed. They are few in number. They sometimes give evidence of conflicting trends. And their predictive value for the midterm elections to follow has been rather conclusively debunked (see Alan Abramowitz’s column here). Still, in a decade where the partisan political pendulum has stayed close to even-steven most of […]

Sabato’s Fun Facts–election ’09

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The following “fun facts” are presented as instant analysis of the November 3 election for the Crystal Ball’s readers, straight from the mouth of U.Va. Center for Politics Director Larry J. Sabato, with the editorial assistance of Isaac Wood: The Republicans learned they can win again (VA, NJ), but only if they can unify their […]

What Happens in Virginia and New Jersey, Stays in Virginia and New Jersey

Off-Year Elections Not Referenda on Obama and Don't Predict Midterm Results

, Senior Columnist

In American politics, what comes around usually goes around. But it doesn’t always go around this quickly. Just one year after their decisive victories in the 2008 presidential and congressional elections, Democrats appear to be in serious trouble. Some political commentators believe that Republican victories in the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections reflect growing […]