Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for August, 2009

Tweets of the Week

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The Crystal Ball’s Tweets of the Week reviews the highlights of the past week in politics in 140 characters or less. To get this analysis as soon as news breaks, follow University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter by clicking here. 1:47 PM Aug 14th: Jimmy Carter […]

The Myth of the Independent Voter Revisited

, Guest Columnist

Independents are hot. If you’ve been reading the opinion columns in the newspaper or watching the talking heads on television, you probably know that political independents are the largest and fastest growing segment of the American electorate. You also know that independents don’t care about party labels, vote for the person instead of the party, […]

Tweets of the Week

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The Crystal Ball’s Tweets of the Week reviews the highlights of the past week in politics in 140 characters or less. To get this analysis as news breaks, follow University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter by clicking here. 4:42 AM Aug 6th: The left and right […]

Ballot Placement Journal Articles

The following scholarly articles concern the effect of ballot placement on the behavior of voters. For each article we have included a short summary and/or the article’s abstract to assist interested readers in finding pertinent sources of information. Where possible, we have included a link to the article which can be read online, although many […]

Ballot Laws by State

Compiled by Isaac Wood and William Cooper, University of Virginia Center for Politics.

Who’s on First?

Does the Ballot Order of Candidates Make a Difference? (Ten Principles That Answer the Question)

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Every year, about this time, I hear from people who have watched their state set the order of candidate appearance on the fall ballot. Some states put candidates in chronological order of their official filing with the elections board, while others choose candidates or parties by lot. In fact, the smorgasbord of ways each state […]

A Note on the Sotomayor Confirmation Vote

Explaining the Votes of Republican Senators

, Guest Columnist

Like almost everything else in Congress, Senate votes on Supreme Court nominations have become much more polarized along party lines in recent years. That was certainly true of the recent vote on President Obama’s nomination of Sonia Sotomayor. While all 59 Democrats who were present voted to confirm Sotomayor, 31 of 40 Republicans voted against […]

Tweets of the Week

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The Crystal Ball’s new feature, Tweets of the Week, showcases some highlights from the past week in politics. Read more analysis from University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter here. 11:22 PM Jul 30th: Sen. David Vitter (R-LA) of prostitution fame on 7/29: “I’m on the side […]

Nrcc House Targets

House Schemes and Pipe Dreams

The GOP's list of 70 House targets debunked

, House Race Editor

It’s a game both parties play: pretend that this will be the year you go on the offensive in places where your candidate is, in reality, as likely to win American Idol as the November general election. The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) dutifully played their part on July 31, sending an e-mail to friendly […]