Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for July, 2009

Tweets of the Week

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The Crystal Ball’s new feature, Tweets of the Week, showcases some highlights from the past week in politics. Read more analysis from University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter here. 11:40 PM Jul 23rd: Combine Sanford with today’s NJ arrests and lots of other recent events. Conclusion: […]

Lieutenant Governors and the Governorship, 1984-2009

Table 1. Lieutenant Governors Who Became Governor Notes: Italics in the years of LG service indicate a gap between the end of Lt. Governor and Governor service * Arizona, Oregon and Wyoming have no Lt. Governor; the Secretary of State is next-in-line to succeed the governor ** After becoming Governor for a short period of […]

Are the Top Journalists Insiders or Outsiders?

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Something truly astonishing appeared in a Washington Post column on July 25, 2009 (click here to view). It was written by Frank Mankiewicz, former press secretary to Senator Robert F. Kennedy (D-NY) and the man who is perhaps most widely remembered for announcing RFK’s death in June 1968. Mankiewicz was also the political director of […]

Lieutenant Governor Mania

From "Fifth Wheel" to Powerhouse

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

In the mid-nineteenth century, a delegate to a Virginia constitutional convention argued against the office of lieutenant governor, calling it, “the fifth wheel of a wagon, and much more useless.” Worse has been said about the vice presidency over the centuries. Franklin Roosevelt’s first VP, John Nance Garner, declared his position was not worth a […]

Tweets of the Week

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The Crystal Ball’s new feature, Tweets of the Week, showcases some highlights from the past week in politics. Read more analysis from University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter here. 1:24 PM Jul 16th: Today the Richmond Times-Dispatch apologized editorially for its role in Massive Resistance. Late […]

The Virginia Gubernatorial Election

CLUES FROM THE PAST

, Senior Columnist

It is often said that the past is prologue. In that regard, this year’s gubernatorial candidates in Virginia–Democrat Creigh Deeds and Republican Bob McDonnell–share a bit of common history. They ran against each other for state attorney general in 2005, a race that ended as one of the closest statewide elections in Virginia history. Following […]

Tweets of the Week

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The Crystal Ball’s new feature, Tweets of the Week, showcases some highlights from the past week in politics. Read more analysis from University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter here. 9:54 PM Jul 10th: As the author of “A More Perfect Constitution,” I’m delighted that both CA […]

Fifty Years Later

REVISITING THE LEGACY OF MASSIVE RESISTANCE

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The following article is the unedited version of a commentary piece as submitted to the Richmond Times-Dispatch. Fifty years have now passed since the dark days of Massive Resistance, when public schools in some Virginia localities were shuttered rather than integrated. Virginia has had an overall proud and constructive history; yet except for the original […]

Tweets of the Week

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

A new Crystal Ball feature, Tweets of the Week, will showcase some highlights from the past week in politics. This commentary is just a sampling of the analysis (and, yes, sometimes humor) of University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato who can be found on Twitter by clicking here. […]

Do Americans View Both Parties as Too Extreme?

, Guest Columnist

According to the Gallup Poll, many Americans today view both major political parties as too extreme ideologically. In a survey conducted from June 14-17 of this year, 46 percent of Americans said that the Democratic Party was “too liberal” while 42 percent described its political views as “about right” and 8 percent said it was […]

The Gop: Poised for Another Quick Comeback?

, Senior Columnist

The current state of the Republican Party is a good-news, bad-news situation. The good news is that the GOP has gone through several debilitating elections over the last generation and each time has recovered quickly. The bad news is that the conditions may not be as ripe this time for a fast Republican comeback as […]