Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for March, 2009

Statehouse Rock: 36 Governorships on the Chopping Block in 2010

Part Three of Three

We’ve had two good weeks of gubernatorial fun in the Crystal Ball, reviewing the early match-ups for the 2010 midterm Governor battles here and here. Now it’s time to examine the remaining sixteen statehouses, all currently controlled by Republicans. ALABAMA–Gov. Bob Riley (R-AL): OPEN SEAT. With Gov. Riley completing his second and final term, Alabama […]

House Special Report

Previewing the Three Special Elections on Tap

If the November 2008 election was the equivalent of a Democratic tidal wave crashing on the United States, the special elections held earlier that year should have been the early warning system. Before any ballots were cast on November 4, Democrats had already captured three previously-Republican seats in 2008. These three seats (IL-14, LA-6, and […]

Statehouse Rock: 36 Governorships on the Chopping Block in 2010

Part Two of Three

Last week the Crystal Ball conducted a historical overview of gubernatorial midterm elections in the past sixty years. Now we’ll continue our initial analysis of the statehouse battles to come by assessing the situation in each of the 36 states hosting a contest for Governor in 2010. Let’s start with the 20 Democratic statehouses on […]

Statehouse Rock: 36 Governorships on the Chopping Block in 2010

Part One of Three

Every midterm year, the lion’s share of the attention seems to go to the U.S. Senate and House contests at the national level, even though the governorships are arguably more important. Despite the unusual all-Senate match-up of Barack Obama and John McCain in 2008, the statehouses are still the incubators for most modern presidents (Carter, […]