Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for February, 2008

Veep! Veep!

The McCain Possibilities

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Almost a year ago, the Crystal Ball took a first crack at listing the vice presidential possibilities in both parties (LINK). The list has held up surprisingly well. But the justifications for various candidacies have changed, and now that we know John McCain will make the choice, it’s time for reconsideration. (We’ll await the unofficial […]

Democrats and the Popular Vote

It's in the eye of the beholder

, Senior Columnist

As the closely fought Democratic presidential contest between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama moves deeper and deeper into the primary season, there is a growing sentiment that the nomination should go to the candidate that ultimately wins the popular vote. Fair enough. Ever since the current primary-dominated era of nominations began in the 1970s, every […]

The Enthusiasm Gap

Voter engagement in the presidential race

, Special Guest Columnist

Dr. Alan Abramowitz is one of the most distinguished and best known political scientists in the United States today. He has a rare talent for distilling data into appealing, fascinating accounts about American politics, as you will see in his guest column for the Crystal Ball today. Alan is the Alben W. Barkley Professor of […]

Super Duper Tuesday Lives Up to Its Name

McCain rises, Democrats deadlocked

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Now be honest. Wasn’t Tuesday evening one of the most exciting nights ever in American politics? It had more drama and twists than many presidential general elections. The onrush of results and exit polls in twenty-four states–and let’s not forget about American Samoa–was dizzying and exhilarating. Our readers, mainly political junkies, already know the basics. […]