Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for November, 2007

Notes on the State of Politics

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

This week, the Crystal Ball publishes another installment in our intermittent series of observations on the 2008 campaign and the politics of the day. We offer these musings as a supplement to our usual essays focusing on one subject, which will still appear regularly. Jefferson aficionados will find the title familiar, and they know he […]

Another Part of the Bush Legacy in Question?

Party-building success through the lens of history

, Senior Columnist

During his first term, George W. Bush was arguably the most successful party-building president since Franklin D. Roosevelt. Like FDR, who fashioned a Democratic coalition that dominated American politics for a generation, Bush during his first four years in office helped the Republicans post gains in Congress and around the country that many in the […]

Notes on the State of Politics

Election '07, Colbert, Congress and Beyond!

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

We’ve been away for a while, traveling America discussing our new book, A More Perfect Constitution. The opportunity to discuss the U.S. Constitution–and what might be done to improve it–has been a special one, and I thank the thousands of people who have attended lectures and come to book-signings and participated in webchats on the […]

2007 Gubernatorial Contests and Virginia General Assembly Update

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Kentucky Governor From the very first posting on the Crystal Ball for the governorship race in Kentucky this year, we predicted that Governor Ernie Fletcher would be very unlikely to be reelected. Absolutely nothing has happened all year long to change our prediction, and we stick with it. We rather suspect that any Democrat would […]

Hillary’s 2006 Senate Run: A Harbinger of Electability?

, Senior Columnist

Much of the growing sense of inevitability about Hillary Clinton’s bid for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination revolves around the issue of electability. Polls show her running well these days against prospective Republican opponents, which she buttresses with references to the breadth of her own landslide Senate reelection victory last fall in New York. But […]