Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for June, 2007

Bloomie in the Ballpark

Will Bloomberg Run--and Can He Win?

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The news media are a-twitter about the possibility of an all-New York race for the White House in 2008. Hillary Clinton (D) versus Rudy Giuliani (R) versus Michael Bloomberg (I) would somehow validate the Empire State (and the media’s headquarters city). After all, it’s been 64 years since New York could claim the major contenders […]

The Hillary Dilemma

What Should Democrats--and the Country--Do?

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Despite the breathless media reports about every jot and tittle of the Democratic contest for President, not all that much has changed in the last year. Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY) has consistently been the frontrunner in national surveys, sometimes by narrow spreads and frequently by sizeable margins. So far she has weathered the entry of […]

The Scandal-Tinged Six:

Whose campaigns are dead on arrival and who will survive to run again?

, U.Va. Center for Politics

Last week the Crystal Ball examined fifteen freshman Representatives (fourteen Democrats and one Republican) who we consider to be endangered in November 2008. As promised, now we turn to part two of our list of the imperiled: the “Scandal-tinged Six.” Here, the partisan tables are turned, as five Republicans and one Democrat are in danger […]

The Freshman Fifteen

Which House Members Will Carry their Weight in '08?

, U.Va. Center for Politics

This month, the Crystal Ball has compiled an endangered species list of sorts: members of the House of Representatives who have their work cut out for them if they seek political survival beyond 2008. At this point, we can sort the vulnerable into two stacks: the “Freshman Fifteen” and the “Scandalous Six.” We’ll keep you […]