Will Bloomberg Run--and Can He Win?
June 28th, 2007
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
The news media are a-twitter about the possibility of an all-New York race for the White House in 2008. Hillary Clinton (D) versus Rudy Giuliani (R) versus Michael Bloomberg (I) would somehow validate the Empire State (and the media’s headquarters city). After all, it’s been 64 years since New York could claim the major [...]
What Should Democrats--and the Country--Do?
June 21st, 2007
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
Despite the breathless media reports about every jot and tittle of the Democratic contest for President, not all that much has changed in the last year. Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY) has consistently been the frontrunner in national surveys, sometimes by narrow spreads and frequently by sizeable margins. So far she has weathered the entry [...]
Whose campaigns are dead on arrival and who will survive to run again?
June 14th, 2007
Isaac Wood and Larry J. Sabato, U.Va. Center for Politics
Last week the Crystal Ball examined fifteen freshman Representatives (fourteen Democrats and one Republican) who we consider to be endangered in November 2008. As promised, now we turn to part two of our list of the imperiled: the “Scandal-tinged Six.” Here, the partisan tables are turned, as five Republicans and one Democrat are in [...]
Which House Members Will Carry their Weight in '08?
June 7th, 2007
Isaac Wood and Larry J. Sabato, U.Va. Center for Politics
This month, the Crystal Ball has compiled an endangered species list of sorts: members of the House of Representatives who have their work cut out for them if they seek political survival beyond 2008. At this point, we can sort the vulnerable into two stacks: the “Freshman Fifteen” and the “Scandalous Six.” We’ll keep [...]