March 29th, 2007
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
If there is one thing that we at the Crystal Ball cannot countenance, it is early conjecture about possible vice presidential running-mates for the 2008 major-party tickets.
The presidential nominees are a year away from being chosen, and we are already facing the longest formal campaign for President in American history, due [...]
March 22nd, 2007
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
Ah, fun with numbers. There’s nothing like it in the field of politics. Usually, we manipulate the numbers of public opinion polls, but this week we’ll crunch some population data instead.
Last week the Crystal Ball’s David Wasserman went further than anyone has in projecting out the states’ estimated gains and losses [...]
March 15th, 2007
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
Rarely does a political analyst stray from electoral politics–but this is war. And there’s a direct connection to politics.
This war isn’t on terrorism; it’s on “night people”–the tens of millions of us who thrive at night and dread mornings every bit as much as Dracula. Based on personal observations in my 54 [...]
Looking at the Big Picture in the House
March 15th, 2007
David Wasserman, U.Va. Center for Politics
Because one Crystal Ball analysis piece (We Were Merely Freshmen?) laced with references to popular music deserves another, we decided to take our readers back in time this week and tip our hat to an old blues song Led Zeppelin revived in 1971. The first lines should be familiar to many a Robert Plant [...]
GOP Hunts the House for One-Term Wonders in 2008
March 1st, 2007
David Wasserman, U.Va. Center for Politics
As the Crystal Ball gazes into the future of Congress’s lower chamber beyond 2008, what should it consider? Should we read anything into the moderate success of Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s early leadership? No, the elections are too far away for it to really matter. Forgive us as we turn our attention to popular music [...]