This is a test, this is only a test
August 30th, 2006
David Wasserman and Larry J. Sabato, U.Va. Center for Politics
A Glance Inside the House Crystal Ball
Republican Held Seats in Play: 62
Safe R
Likey R (22)
Leans R (23)
Toss-up (15)
Leans D (2)
Likely D (0)
Safe D
180 seats
AZ-01 (Renzi)
WY-AL (Cubin)
AZ-08 (OPEN)
PA-06 (Gerlach)
CA-04 (Doolittle)
WY-AL (Cubin)
AZ-08 (OPEN)
TX-22 (OPEN)
TX-17 (Edwards)
IL-17 (OPEN)
IL-08 (Bean)
AZ-08 (OPEN)
TX-22 (OPEN)
180 seats
Safe R
Likey R (0)
Leans R (0) [...]
170 years later, could it be the GOP's last stand in 2006?
August 24th, 2006
David Wasserman and Larry J. Sabato, U.Va. Center for Politics
With less than two weeks to go before the traditional Labor Day kickoff of the fall election season, there’s never been a better time to take stock of the races that will determine partisan control of Congress beyond 2006. In some races, the same elements have been at play for many months and little [...]
PLUS: Where all the races stand approaching campaign season's final leg
August 10th, 2006
David Wasserman and Larry J. Sabato, U.Va. Center for Politics
Coverage and analysis of the Lieberman-Lamont primary results has likely consumed an entire national forest today, or at least a forest’s worth of giga-bytes on the internet. But before the Crystal Ball turns its attention northward, we present a brief glimpse of the current midterm picture.
The Election as it Looks on August [...]
August 3rd, 2006
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
What’s currently happening in the Democratic Party of Connecticut is either an ugly purge or a refreshing demonstration of grassroots democracy. Which side you take in this intra-party war reveals a lot about you.
By now, virtually everyone knows that three-term U.S. Sen. Joseph Lieberman is in the fight of his political life [...]
Trends show an impact on contests across the nation
August 3rd, 2006
David Wasserman and Larry J. Sabato, U.Va. Center for Politics
Just over one month ago, the Crystal Ball argued that a larger wave than currently existed at the time would have to build in order for Republicans to lose their congressional majorities. At the time, the race-by-race rather than national dynamic of competitive races pointed more towards a “micro-wave” than a “macro-wave” for out-of-power [...]