Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for September, 2005

Protect Ya Neck: The 2006 Races for Senate and Governor

Vulnerable Incumbents and Open Seats Provide Action

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

It is time for our first fall update of the 2006 Senate and Governor contests. To the layperson, they are an eternity and fourteen months away. To political junkies, the races are already in full swing, with recruiting season approaching its end in most places and fundraising machines humming everywhere. Enter the Senate (33 Chambers) […]

Hurricane Katrina: Lessons for a Participatory Democracy

, U.Va. Center for Politics

When a national emergency strikes, we can depend on our country to come together and display unparalleled generosity and thoughtfulness. We watch as stories of personal triumphs mix with unimaginable tragedies. Those whose lives have been forever altered turn to friends, communities, congregations and the nation as a whole for help; and those who have […]

Storm Clouds Over 1600

A White House Engulfed by Troubles

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Sooner or later, second-term Presidencies go downhill. But George W. Bush’s is going downhill a little too quickly for his comfort. Of the post-World War II Chief Executives, only Richard Nixon’s second term produced a sharper growth in disapproval than Bush’s. Table 1. Second Term Presidential Approval Ratings President Poll Date Approve Disapprove No Opinion […]