April 28th, 2005
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
Partisan redistricting almost everywhere keeps the House of Representatives from demonstrating much of a political trend, unless the winds of change are hurricane-force. Senate contests are frequently idiosyncratic, distorted by the intense effects of incumbency and the massive spending of the wealthy. Moreover, only a third of the states feature Senate match-ups in any given [...]
Modern history favors the out-of-power Democrats, but recent memory suggests the GOP can beat the electoral traditions
April 5th, 2005
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
Every election year is different, and the results of midterm elections have varied dramatically. Still, can recent history suggest anything about the 2006 Senate results? At the very least, our modern electoral experience can set goals for Democrats and Republicans alike. Let’s look at the last half-century of midterm elections for the U.S. Senate from [...]
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