The 14 seats most likely to change hands in 2006
March 31st, 2005
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
All Crystal Ball junkies know the drill. Every election year, most Senators skate by, especially the venerable elders who well fit their states. Meanwhile, a handful of Senators are vulnerable, and those are the contests we watch like hawks. In last week’s Crystal Ball email ( http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/LJS2005032401), we examined seniority and the 109th Senate, [...]
March 24th, 2005
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
Recently, Congressional Quarterly reported a startling statistic that received little attention, but should have been the source of extensive commentary for what it told us about the contemporary institution of the United States Senate. The current 109th Congress has achieved a remarkable milestone: It has the oldest Senate ever! The average senator serving today is [...]
Can the GOP win a third consecutive presidential term?
March 3rd, 2005
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
Last week the Crystal Ball tackled the Democratic candidates for President in 2008–figuratively, at least (click here: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/LJS2005022401). Now we turn our attention to the possible Republican presidential wannabes.
Before we analyze specific candidates, remember that in 2008 the GOP will be completing eight years as the governing party in the White House. In order to [...]
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