Sabato's Crystal Ball

Archive for August, 2004

Low-Carb Convention Wrap

, Senior Correspondent

Twist and Shout Just as the Republicans did this July in Boston, the Democrats have setup a rapid response center to spin the news coming out of Madison Square Garden. A direct twist of the banner that hung above President Bush when he declared an end to hostilities aboard the USS Abraham on May 1, […]

Big Apple Breakfast

, Senior Correspondent

Protest Update: The Crystal Ball Can’t Get No Love Two incidents in the past few days have prompted the Crystal Ball to speak out about the protesters, or, if you will, protest the protesters. During the United for Peace and Justice rally on Sunday, as your Crystal Ball was exiting Madison Square Garden to grab […]

Low-Carb Convention Wrap

, Senior Correspondent

May We Present the Republican Candidates for U.S. Senate While the focus of this week will be on President Bush, his first-term accomplishments and his plans for another, the Monday morning session showcased seven Republican candidates for Senate. After an introduction by National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) Chairman George Allen (R-VA), the candidates proceeded to […]

The Big Elephant in the Big Apple

Could things finally be looking up for George W. Bush?

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Presidential election history suggests several verities that might apply as the GOP convenes in New York City: 1. Incumbent presidents usually get a convention bounce that is smaller, often about half to two-thirds, of their less well-known challengers in the other party. Since John Kerry got a bounce estimated to be a mere two points […]

Vietnam: Political Apocalypse Now

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

The extraordinary emotional exchanges we are witnessing daily about the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth group leads us to one unavoidable conclusion: For only the second time in our nation’s history, the bitterness of a bloody, lost war will shadow national politics until generational replacement has removed all the brave soldiers who experienced the event […]

The Mcgreevey Matter

The impact on presidential politics

, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Now that we are all finished picking our jaws up off the floor after Governor Jim McGreevey’s one-of-a-kind press conference in New Jersey, it is worth taking stock of what this extraordinary development might mean for the 2004 race for president–in and out of the Garden State. McGreevey’s resignation speech was repeatedly called “courageous” on […]