Sabato's Crystal Ball

Presidential Pool-Itics:Swimming in the Veep End

Veep update...Veep update...Veep update...Veep update...

February 18th, 2004

Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Your Crystal Ball started off the New Year by looking at possible Democratic vice presidential candidates. It’s time for an update because much has changed, not least the fact that we have a better idea of the likely identity of the presidential nominee. Who can best help John Kerry, and why? Which vice-presidential candidates have [...]

Sabato’s Three Laws of Political Motion”

As Candidates Fall Faster than Newton's Apple

February 11th, 2004

Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Now that John Kerry has won clear victories in Tennessee and Virginia, on top of his resounding triumphs over the weekend in Michigan, Washington State, and Maine, the junior U.S. senator from Massachusetts is the presidential nominee-presumptive of the Democratic Party. Yes, he could make a terrible gaffe, or there could be some gigantic expose [...]

The Mesmerizing Dance of “Mr. Mo Mentum”

February 4th, 2004

Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

With John Kerry’s big victories tonight in five of the seven states on Groundhog Tuesday (name courtesy of The Hotline), we are struck again by the amazing power of winning to beget more winning. A few weeks ago, Kerry had only shadow organizations in most of these states and was barely registering in their public [...]