More Powerful in Politics than Love, It's Driving this Democratic Nominating Contest: And The Bush White House May Be Ignoring That, At Its Peril
January 28th, 2004
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
For those of us old enough to remember the long and winding career of Richard Nixon, a strange parallel is beginning to emerge. Presidents are almost always disliked by members of the other major political party, but in American history only a few are truly hated by a large number of their partisan adversaries. In [...]
January 20th, 2004
Larry J. Sabato and the Crystal Ball Team, U.Va. Center for Politics
In the wee hours of Jan. 20, 2004, one year to Inauguration Day…
After a three year build-up, the results are in, and friends, it’s a whole new campaign!
Turnout total: early estimates near 125,000
So what does it mean?
KERRY = COMEBACK KID
John Kerry has earned the 2004 title of “The Comeback Kid,” and if the movement to [...]
January 5th, 2004
Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
We know, we know. The Democrats haven’t even selected their presidential nominee yet, and already the Crystal Ball is speculating wildly about THE VEEP PICK. But please consider two points in our defense. First, our presidential ratings haven’t changed very much from last month (Howard Dean still well in front – the probable though NOT [...]
Democratic Nominee
January 1st, 2004
U.Va. Center for Politics
In the spring of 2003, many Democratic party insiders, when forced to name the “real” frontrunner, picked John Kerry. It’s obvious why. He’s fairly experienced (on his fourth Senate term), a Vietnam vet, matinee-idol handsome, and policy polished. Did we mention fabulously wealthy, thanks to his second marriage to Teresa Heinz (who, just in time [...]
Republican Nominee
January 1st, 2004
U.Va. Center for Politics
President Bush is currently unopposed for the GOP nomination.
Biography
George W. Bush was sworn into office January 20, 2001, after a hotly contested race for the White House in 2000. He grew up in Midland and Houston, Texas, received a bachelor’s degree from Yale University, then served in the Texas Air National Guard. President Bush received [...]
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