Sabato's Crystal Ball

Third Year Testing

February 19th, 2003

Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics

Julius Caesar was warned: “Beware the Ides of March.” Our modern presidents should be warned: “Beware the third year.” Why, that’s the presidential year George W. Bush has just begun! The third year is among the times that try presidents’ souls. Take a look at our new analysis of the Gallup Poll trends for presidents [...]