How’d we do in 2018? A final update
Editor’s Note: Three quick notes this week: 1. Our First-Ever Name Our Post-Election Book Contest: We’re pleased to announce that
Moderation in the Pursuit of Reelection May Not Help
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — District partisanship was by far the strongest determinant of the results of House elections
Senate 2020: Republican exposure on paper, but not necessarily in practice
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Of the 34 Senate races on the ballot in 2020, Republicans already control 22
Governors 2019-2020: Democrats try to hold the line in red-state battles
Editor’s Note: Last Thursday morning, the University of Virginia Center for Politics held its 20th annual American Democracy Conference in
Trump to the rescue? Presidential campaigning and the 2018 U.S. Senate elections
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — There is not much evidence that President Trump’s rallies held for GOP Senate candidates
House 2020: The new crossover districts
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Following the 2018 election, it appears as though Republicans will only hold three districts
Cruz, Schiff highlight Center for Politics’ 20th annual American Democracy Conference
Today from 9 a.m. to 1 p.m., the University of Virginia Center for Politics hosts the 20th annual American Democracy
2018 Senate: How the “Trump Ten” Races Compared to 2016
Editor’s Note: The Crystal Ball will be off next week for Thanksgiving. We wish all of our readers a
How’d we do?
It took a lot of Krazy Glue, but we think we pieced the Crystal Ball back together, reassembling after 2016
Final picks for 2018
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Sorry, friends, but you are going to have to actually read this one.
Five days to go
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Our final picks are coming Monday. In the meantime, our longstanding overall assessment —
How Republicans could hold the House
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — There is no systematic relationship between the turnout rate and the Democratic Party’s (or
New polls: Democrats lead marquee Florida races; Arizona Senate, Kansas governor effectively tied
The final pre-election Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics state-level polls of this election cycle shows Democratic candidates leading for
The House Bellwethers
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The longest running House bellwether is a rural, conservative portion of Ohio. — If
A dozen days to go: Ratings changes in gubernatorial, House races
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The battles for the state governorships are getting more volatile as Election Day