Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-senate/
Export date: Tue Sep 19 22:25:47 2017 / +0000 GMT

2016 Senate


To read recent stories regarding the 2016 Senate races, click here 1.

Updated Nov. 7, 2016

2016 Senate ratings map





2016 Senate candidates



*Indicates a special election.





























































































































































































































































































State Incumbent Possible Primary Challengers Major Party Opposition Third party Party Rating
AK Lisa Murkowski
(Running)
- Ex-state Rep. Ray Metcalfe - Atty Margaret Stock (Ind)
- 2010 GOP SEN nominee Joe Miller (Lib)
- 2014 SEN candidate Ted Gianoutsos (Ind)
Safe R
AL Richard Shelby
(Running)
- Marijuana activist Ron Crumpton Safe R
AR John Boozman
(Running)
- Former US Atty Conner Eldridge - 2014 GOV nominee Frank Gilbert (Lib) Safe R
AZ John McCain
(Running)
- Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick Likely R
CA Barbara Boxer
(Retiring)
- AG Kamala Harris
- Rep. Loretta Sanchez
Safe D
CO Michael Bennet
(Running)
- El Paso County Commissioner Darryl Glenn - Businesswoman Lily Williams (Lib)
- Activist Arn Menconi (G)
- Bill Hammons (Unity)
Safe D
CT Richard Blumenthal
(Running)
- State Rep. Dan Carter Safe D
FL Marco Rubio
(Running)
- Rep. Patrick Murphy Leans R
GA Johnny Isakson
(Running)
- Businessman Jim Barksdale - Atty Allen Buckley (Lib) Safe R
HI Brian Schatz
(Running)
- 2012 SEN candidate John Carroll - 2014 SEN nominee Michael Kokoski (Lib)
- 2014 SEN candidate Joy Allison (Const)
- 2012 HI-1 candidate John Giuffre (ASP)
Safe D
IA Chuck Grassley
(Running)
- Ex-Lt. Gov. Patty Judge - Chuck Aldrich (Lib)
- 2014 GOV nominee Jim Hennager (NIPIA)
- Writer Michael Luick-Thrams (Ind)
Safe R
ID Mike Crapo
(Running)
- Businessman Jerry Sturgill - Ray Writz (Const) Safe R
IL Mark Kirk
(Running)
- Rep. Tammy Duckworth - Kenton McMillen (Lib)
- Scott Summers (G)
Likely D
IN Dan Coats
(Retiring)
- Rep. Todd Young - Ex-Sen. Evan Bayh - Lucy Brenton (Lib) Leans R
KS Jerry Moran
(Running)
- 2014 SEN candidate Patrick Wiesner - Robert Garrard (Lib) Safe R
KY Rand Paul
(Running)
- Lexington Mayor Jim Gray Safe R
LA David Vitter
(Retiring)
- Rep. Charles Boustany
- Rep. John Fleming
- State Treasurer John Kennedy
- 2014 candidate Rob Maness
- Ex-Rep. Joseph Cao
- Businessman Abhay Patel
- 2010 LG nominee Caroline Fayard
- Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell
- Businessman Josh Pellerin
Likely R
MD Barbara Mikulski
(Retiring)
- Rep. Chris Van Hollen - State Del. Kathy Szeliga - Health care advocate Margaret Flowers (G) Safe D
MO Roy Blunt
(Running)
- Secretary of State Jason Kander - 2012 SEN nominee Jonathan Dine (Lib)
- Fred Ryman (Const)
Leans R
NC Richard Burr
(Running)
- Ex-state Rep. Deborah Ross - 2014 SEN nominee Sean Haugh (Lib) Leans R
ND John Hoeven
(Running)
- State Rep. Eliot Glassheim - Robert Marquette (Lib) Safe R
NH Kelly Ayotte
(Running)
- Ex-state Sen. Jim Rubens - Gov. Maggie Hassan - Brian Chabot (Lib)
- Aaron Day (Ind)
Leans D
NV Harry Reid
(Retiring)
- Ex-AG Catherine Cortez Masto - Rep. Joe Heck - Tom Jones (IP) Leans D
NY Chuck Schumer
(Running)
- 2012 SEN nominee Wendy Long - Robin Laverne Wilson (G) Safe D
OH Rob Portman
(Running)
- Ex-Gov. Ted Strickland - 2012 candidate Scott Rupert (Ind)
- Joseph DeMare (G)
- Tom Connors (Ind)
Safe R
OK James Lankford
(Running)
- Political consultant Mike Workman - Robert Murphy (Lib) Safe R
OR Ron Wyden
(Running)
- 2014 SEN candidate Mark Callahan - Steven Reynolds (Ind) Safe D
PA Pat Toomey
(Running)
- 2014 GOV candidate Katie McGinty - Edward Clifford (Lib) Leans D
SC Tim Scott
(Running)
- Minister Thomas Dixon - Bill Bledsoe (Lib/Const)
- Michael Scarborough (Am)
Safe R
SD John Thune
(Running)
- Yankton Co. Democratic Party chair Jay Williams Safe R
UT Mike Lee
(Running)
- Cashier Misty Snow - 2014 UT-2 candidate Bill Barron (Ind)
- Stoney Fonua (Ind Am)
Safe R
VT Patrick Leahy
(Running)
- 2014 GOV nominee Scott Milne - Pete Diamondstone (Lib Union)
- Cris Ericson (US Mar)
- Jerry Trudell (Ind)
Safe D
WA Patty Murray
(Running)
- Ex-state party Chairman Chris Vance Safe D
WI Ron Johnson
(Running)
- Ex-Sen. Russ Feingold - Phil Anderson (Lib) Leans D


To see the 2014 Senate race ratings information, click here 2.


Links:
  1. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/artic les/category/2016-senate/
  2. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2014- senate/
Post date: 2014-11-18 14:23:27
Post date GMT: 2014-11-18 19:23:27


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