Sabato's Crystal Ball

2016 Ratings Changes

To read recent stories describing the reasoning behind these rating changes, click here.

To see 2014 race ratings changes, click here.

Jump to: Senate Governor House

Electoral College ratings changes

Nov. 7, 2016

Nov. 3, 2016

Oct. 31, 2016

Oct. 26, 2016

Oct. 20, 2016

Oct. 13, 2016

Oct. 10, 2016

Oct. 6, 2016

Sept. 27, 2016

Sept. 19, 2016

Sept. 15, 2016

Aug. 17, 2016

Aug. 10, 2016

Aug. 3, 2016

July 22, 2016

June 23, 2016

March 31, 2016

Senate ratings changes

Nov. 7, 2016

Nov. 3, 2016

Nov. 3, 2016

Oct. 31, 2016

Oct. 20, 2016

Oct. 10, 2016

Oct. 6, 2016

Sept. 27, 2016

Sept. 19, 2016

Sept. 1, 2016

Aug. 3, 2016

July 11, 2016

April 6, 2016

Dec. 9, 2015

Oct. 5, 2015

Sept. 30, 2015

Sept. 16, 2015

July 22, 2015

May 21, 2015

April 13, 2015

March 27, 2015

Dec. 3, 2014

Nov. 18, 2014

Governor ratings changes

Nov. 7, 2016

Oct. 26, 2016

Sept. 8, 2016

April 6, 2016

Dec. 9, 2015

Nov. 19, 2015

Nov. 9, 2015

Oct. 29, 2015

Oct. 5, 2015

Sept. 30, 2015


Sept. 9, 2015

Aug. 24, 2015

July 15, 2015

May 21, 2015

April 22, 2015

April 2, 2015

Feb. 13, 2015

House ratings changes

Nov. 7, 2016

Oct. 26, 2016

Oct. 20, 2016

Oct. 13, 2016

Sept. 27, 2016

Sept. 8, 2016

Aug. 10, 2016

June 17, 2016

June 16, 2016

June 9, 2016

April 28, 2016

April 14, 2016

Feb. 10, 2016

Jan. 30, 2016

Jan. 14, 2016

Jan. 8, 2016

Jan. 5, 2016

Dec. 22, 2015

Dec. 21, 2015

Dec. 9, 2015

Dec. 2, 2015

Nov. 6, 2015

Oct. 7, 2015

Sept. 15, 2015

Sept. 3, 2015

July 20, 2015

July 6, 2015

May 27, 2015

April 8, 2015

March 23, 2015

Feb. 25, 2015

Jan. 7, 2015