Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2014-senate/
Export date: Fri Nov 24 16:32:40 2017 / +0000 GMT

2014 Senate


To read recent stories regarding 2014 Senate races, click here 1.

Updated Nov. 3, 2014

Current outlook: Republicans net eight Senate seats





To create your own Senate ratings map, check out the interactive map 2 from our partner 270ToWin.com.

Note: Bolded candidate names indicate likely frontrunner for a nomination if there is one. *Indicates a special election.











































































































































































































































































































State Incumbent Possible Primary Challengers Major Party Opposition Third party Party Rating
AK Mark Begich
(Running)
- Ex-State Natural Resources Commissioner Dan Sullivan - Veteran Mark Fish (Lib)

- Ted Gianoutsos (Ind)
Leans R
AL Jeff Sessions
(Running)
Safe R
AR Mark Pryor
(Running)
- Rep. Tom Cotton - Mark Swaney (Grn)

- Nathan LaFrance (Lib)
Likely R
CO Mark Udall
(Running)
- Rep. Cory Gardner - Gaylon Kent (Lib)

- Bill Hammons (Unity)

- Neurosurgeon Steve Shogan (Ind)

- Raúl Acosta (Ind)
Leans R
DE Chris Coons
(Running)
- Businessman Kevin Wade - Andrew Groff (Grn) Safe D
GA Saxby Chambliss
(Retiring)
-Businessman David Perdue - Non-profit exec. Michelle Nunn - Ex-Flowery Branch council member Amanda Swafford (Lib) Leans R
HI* Brian Schatz
(Running)
- Ex-state Rep. Cam Cavasso - Michael Kokoski (Lib) Safe D
IA Tom Harkin
(Retiring)
- Rep. Bruce Braley - State Sen. Joni Ernst - Douglas Butzier (Lib)

- Bob Quast (Ind)

- Rick Stewart (Ind)

- Ruth Smith (Ind)
Leans R
ID Jim Risch
(Running)
- Atty Nels Mitchell Safe R
IL Dick Durbin
(Running)
- State Sen. Jim Oberweis - Sharon Hansen (Lib) Safe D
KS Pat Roberts
(Running)
- Shawnee County DA Chad Taylor (withdrew) - Businessman Greg Orman (Ind)

- Quality assurance inspector Randall Batson (Lib)
Leans R
KY Mitch McConnell
(Running)
- Sec. of State Alison Lundergan Grimes - Police officer David Patterson (Lib) Likely R
LA Mary Landrieu
(Running)
- Wayne Ables

- Vallian Senegal

- William Waymire
- Rep. Bill Cassidy

- Ret. Air Force Col. Rob Maness

- Thomas Clements
- Brannon McMorris (Lib) Leans R
MA Ed Markey (Running) - Hopkinton Selectman Brian Herr Safe D
ME Susan Collins
(Running)
Ex-Exec. Director of Maine ACLU Shenna Bellows Safe R
MI Carl Levin
(Retiring)
- Rep. Gary Peters - Ex-Sec. of State Terri Lynn Land - Jim Fulner (Lib)

- Chris Wahmhoff (Grn)

- Richard Matkin (UST)
Likely D
MN Al Franken
(Running)
- Businessman Mike McFadden - Steve Carlson (Ind)

- Heather Johnson (Lib)
Likely D
MS Thad Cochran
(Running)
- Ex-Rep. Travis Childers - Shawn O'Hara (Ref) Safe R
MT John Walsh
(Retiring)
State Rep. Amanda Curtis - Rep. Steve Daines - Former MT Secretary of State nominee Roger Roots (Lib) Safe R
NC Kay Hagan
(Running)
- State House Speaker Thom Tillis - 2002 candidate Sean Haugh (Lib) Leans D
NE Mike Johanns
(Retiring)
- Midland University President Ben Sasse
- Atty. David Domina - Rancher Jim Jenkins (Ind)

- Todd Watson (Ind)
Safe R
NH Jeanne Shaheen
(Running)
- Ex-MA Sen. Scott Brown
Leans D
NJ Cory Booker
(Running)
- 1978 nominee Jeff Bell - Joseph Baratelli (Lib)

- Hank Schroeder (Ind)

- Jeff Boss (Ind)

- Antonio Sabas (Ind)

- Eugen Lavergne
Safe D
NM Tom Udall
(Running)
- Former state party Chairman Allen Weh Safe D
OK Jim Inhofe
(Running)
- Financial adviser Matt Silverstein - Aaron DeLozier (Ind)

- Ray Woods (Ind)

- Joan Farr (Ind)
Safe R
OK* Tom Coburn
(Resigning)
- Rep. James Lankford - State Sen. Connie Johnson - Mark Beard (Ind) Safe R
OR Jeff Merkley
(Running)
- Physician Monica Wehby - Peace activist Christina Lugo (Grn)

- Mike Montchalin (Lib)

- James Leuenberger (Con)
Likely D
RI Jack Reed
(Running)
2008 & 2010 RI-2 nominee Mark Zaccari Safe D
SC Lindsey Graham
(Running)
- State Sen. Brad Hutto - Ex-state Treasurer Thomas Ravenel (Ind)

- SC Libertarian Party chair Victor Kocher (Lib)
Safe R
SC* Tim Scott
(Running)
- Richland County Councilwoman Joyce Dickerson - Ex-CPO of the American Red Cross Jill Bossi (American) Safe R
SD Tim Johnson
(Retiring)
- 1996 House candidate Rick Weiland - Ex-Gov. Mike Rounds - Ex-Sen. Larry Pressler (Ind)

- 2010 GOP Gov. candidate Gordon Howie (Ind)
Likely R
TN Lamar Alexander
(Running)
- Atty Gordon Ball - Joe Wilmoth (Const)

- Martin Pleasant (Grn)

- Tom Emerson (Ind)

- Edmund Gauthier (Ind)

- Joshua James (Ind)

- Danny Page (Ind)

- Bartholomew Phillips (Ind)

- C. Salekin (Ind)

- Eric Schechter (Ind)

- Rick Tyler (Ind)
Safe R
TX John Cornyn
(Running)
- Physician David Alameel - Rebecca Paddock (Lib)

- Emily Sanchez (Grn)
Safe R
VA Mark Warner
(Running)
- Ex-RNC chair Ed Gillespie - 2013 Gov. candidate Robert Sarvis (Lib) Likely D
WV Jay Rockefeller
(Retiring)
- Sec. of State Natalie Tennant - Rep. Shelley Moore Capito - Ex-VA Del. John Buckley (Lib)

- Bob Henry Baber (Mtn)

- Phil Hudok (Const)
Safe R
WY Mike Enzi
(Running)
- Former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy - Joseph Porambo (Lib)

- Curt Gottshall (Ind)
Safe R





Recent Senate Analysis

Links:
  1. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/artic les/category/2014-senate/
  2. http://www.270towin.com/2014-senate-election/
  3. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/artic les/the-intrigue-of-marco-rubios-presidential-camp aign/
  4. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/artic les/are-voters-drifting-away/
  5. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/artic les/why-outside-spending-is-overrated-lessons-from -the-2014-senate-elections/
  6. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/artic les/what-a-drag/
Post date: 2013-01-04 11:05:53
Post date GMT: 2013-01-04 16:05:53


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