Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2014-governor/
Export date: Wed Oct 18 9:15:04 2017 / +0000 GMT

2014 Governor


To read recent stories regarding 2014 gubernatorial races, click here 1.

Updated Nov. 3, 2014


Current net outlook: R -3, D +2, I +1






Note: Bolded candidate names indicate likely frontrunner for a nomination if there is one.












































































































































































































































































































State Incumbent Possible Primary Challengers Major Party Opposition Third party Party Rating
AK Sean Parnell
(Running)
- 2010 candidate Bill Walker (Ind)

- J.R. Eyers (Const)

- Carolyn Clift (Lib)
Leans Independent
AL Robert Bentley
(Running)
- Ex-Rep. Parker Griffith Safe R
AR Mike Beebe
(Term-Limited)
- Ex-Rep. Mike Ross - Ex-Rep. Asa Hutchinson
- Joshua Drake (Grn)

- Frank Gilbert (Lib)
Likely R
AZ Jan Brewer
(Term-Limited)
- Treasurer Doug Ducey - Ex-State Board of Regents Pres. Fred DuVal - Author Barry Hess (Lib)

- John Mealer (Am Elect)
Likely R
CA Jerry Brown
(Running)
- Former Treasury Dept. official Neel Kashkari Safe D
CO John Hickenlooper
(Running)
- Ex-Rep. Bob Beauprez - Harry Hempy (Grn)

- Matthew Hess (Lib)

- Mike Dunafon (Ind)

- Paul Fiorino (Ind)
Leans D
CT Dan Malloy
(Running)
- 2010 nominee Tom Foley - Ex-West Hartford councilman Joe Visconti (Ind) Leans D
FL Rick Scott
(Running)
- Ex-Gov. Charlie Crist - Radio host Adrian Wyllie (Lib)

- Farid Khavari (Ind)

- Glenn Burkett (Ind)
Leans D
GA Nathan Deal
(Running)
- State Sen. Jason Carter - Former tech CEO Andrew Hunt (Lib) Leans R
HI Neil Abercrombie
(Defeated for renomination)
- State Sen. David Ige - 2010 nominee Duke Aiona - Ex-Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann (Ind)

- Jeff Davis (Lib)
Likely D
IA Terry Branstad
(Running)
- State Sen. Jack Hatch - Lee Hieb (Lib)

- Jonathan Narcisee (IA Party)

- Jim Hennager (Ind)
Safe R
ID Butch Otter
(Running)
- Boise School Board chair A.J. Balukoff - John Bujak (Lib)

- Steve Pankey (Con)

- Jill Humble (Ind)

- Pro-Life (Ind)
Likely R
IL Pat Quinn
(Running)
- Venture capitalist Bruce Rauner - Chad Grimm (Lib) Leans D
KS Sam Brownback
(Running)
- House Minority Leader Paul Davis - Keen Umbehr (Lib) Leans D
MA Deval Patrick
(Retiring)
- AG Martha Coakley - 2010 nominee Charlie Baker - Venture capital investor Jeff McCormick (Ind)

- Former business executive Evan Falchuk (UIP)

- Scott Lively (Ind)
Leans R
MD Martin O'Malley
(Term-Limited)
- LG Anthony Brown - Ex-Ehrlich Cabinet secretary Larry Hogan Leans D
ME Paul LePage
(Running)
- Rep. Mike Michaud - 2010 candidate Eliot Cutler (Ind) Leans D
MI Rick Snyder
(Running)
- Ex-Rep. Mark Schauer - Mary Buzuma (Lib)

- Paul Homeniuk (Grn)

- Mark McFarlin (UST)
Leans R
MN Mark Dayton
(Running)
- Hennepin Co. Commissioner Jeff Johnson - Hannah Nicollet (Ind)

- Chris Holbrook (Lib)

- Chris Wright (G'roots)
Likely D
NE Dave Heineman
(Term-Limited)
- 2006 Sen nominee Pete Ricketts - Ex-Center for Rural Affairs Executive Director Chuck Hassebrook - Marijuana legalization activist Mark Elworth (Lib) Safe R
NH Maggie Hassan
(Running)
- Businessman Walter Havenstein Leans D
NM Susana Martinez
(Running)
- AG Gary King Safe R
NV Brian Sandoval
(Running)
- David Vanderbeek (Ind Am) - Former state economic development commissioner Robert Goodman Safe R
NY Andrew Cuomo
(Running)
- Westchester County Exec. Rob Astorino - 2010 gubernatorial nominee Howie Hawkins (Grn)

- 2012 NY-3 candidate Michael McDermott (Lib)

- Steven Cohn (Sapient)
Safe D
OH John Kasich
(Running)
- Cuyahoga Co. Executive Ed FitzGerald - Activist Anita Rios (Grn) Safe R
OK Mary Fallin
(Running)
- State Rep. Joe Dorman - Kimberly Willis (Ind)

- Richard Prawdzienski (Ind)
Safe R
OR John Kitzhaber
(Running)
- State Rep. Dennis Richardson - Minister Aaron Auer (Con)

- Marijuana legalization activist Jason Levin (Grn)

- Tovia Fornah (Ind)

- Businessman Paul Grad (Lib)

- Chris Henry (Ind)
Likely D
PA Tom Corbett
(Running)
- Ex-Revenue Sec. Tom Wolf Safe D
RI Lincoln Chafee
(Retiring)
- Treasurer Gina Raimondo - Cranston Mayor Allan Fung - Robert Healey (Mod)

- Kate Fletcher (Ind)

- Leon Kayarian (Ind)
Leans D
SC Nikki Haley
(Running)
- 2010 nominee Vincent Sheheen - Ex-state Rep. Tom Ervin (Ind)

- Businessman Steve French (Lib)

- Pastor Morgan Bruce Reeves (Ind)
Likely R
SD Dennis Daugaard
(Running)
- State Rep. Susan Wismer - Michael Myers (Ind) Safe R
TN Bill Haslam
(Running)
- Charles V. "Charlie" Brown - Shaun Crowell (Const)

- Isa Infante (Grn)

- Steven Coburn (Ind)

- John Jay Hooker (Ind)

- Daniel Lewis (Ind)
Safe R
TX Rick Perry
(Retiring)
- AG Greg Abbott - State Sen. Wendy Davis - Kathie Glass (Lib)

- Brandon Parmer (Grn)
Safe R
VT Peter Shumlin
(Running)
- Businessman Scott Milne - Dan Feliciano (Lib)

- Pete Diamondstine (LUP)

- Marijuana legalization activist Cris Ericson (MP)

- Emily Peyton (Ind)

- Bernard Peters (Ind)
Safe D
WI Scott Walker
(Running)
- Madison School Board member Mary Burke - Robert Burke (Lib)

- Dennis Fehr (PP)
Leans R
WY Matt Mead
(Running)
- Ex-state Democratic Party Chairman Pete Gosar - Dee Cozzens (Lib)

- Don Wills (Ind)
Safe R




Links:
  1. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/artic les/category/2014-governor/
Post date: 2013-01-04 11:08:21
Post date GMT: 2013-01-04 16:08:21


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