Sabato's Crystal Ball

Electoral College Road Map – Vermont

The 2008 Electoral College Road Map

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Vermont

Outlook: Solid Democratic

Vermont has an eccentric political reputation: it has venerable Democrat Patrick Leahy in the U.S. Senate alongside a self-avowed socialist, Bernie Sanders, who is technically an Independent but caucuses with the Democrats. Still, Vermont put a Republican governor, Jim Douglas, in the statehouse and will likely reelect him by a large margin this November. Historically, Vermont was once an automatic three electoral votes for Republicans; yet since 1992 the Green Mountain State has gone Democratic by ever-increasing margins, culminating with John Kerry’s win there by 20 percent in 2004.