Pennsylvania

Outlook: Toss Up

21 Electoral Votes (21 in 2000)
Kerry won in 2004 by 2.5%

Pennsylvania has been a swing state in the last two presidential elections and should be again in 2008. While it seems to lean Democratic, with two Democrats in the U.S. Senate, one in the governor’s mansion, and more Democratic congressmen than Republicans, Al Gore won here by only 4 percent in 2000. In 2004 John Kerry won by an even smaller margin—just 2.5 percent. As usual, Pennsylvania’s large number of electoral votes, 21, ought to make it key to winning the White House.