Sabato's Crystal Ball

Electoral College Road Map – New York

The 2008 Electoral College Road Map

Introduction | View All States

New York

Outlook: Solid Democratic

New York has long been a Democratic stronghold in national elections, as it last went to a Republican in Ronald Reagan’s 1984 landslide. The only thing Republicans control in the Empire State is the state Senate, while Democrats hold both Senate seats, 23 of the 29 congressional districts, the governorship, and the state House. Considering Al Gore won the state by 25 percent in 2000 and John Kerry by nearly 20 percent in 2004, Barack Obama must be feeling good about New York’s 31 electoral votes.