New Mexico

Outlook: Leans Democratic

5 Electoral Votes (5 in 2000)
Bush won in 2004 by 0.79%

New Mexico has been extremely close in the last two presidential elections, as Al Gore in 2000 and George W. Bush in 2004 each won by the skin of their teeth. However, this time around New Mexico has more of a Democratic lean. The governor is a Democrat, the state assembly is controlled by the Democrats, one Senator is a Democrat and the other seat will likely go Blue in 2008. The only majority the Republicans have is in congressional districts, where they control two of the state’s three. New Mexico will again be a very competitive state in 2008, though the Democrats may have the edge this time around.