New Jersey

Outlook: Solid Democratic

15 Electoral Votes (15 in 2000)
Kerry won in 2004 by 6.68%

New Jersey seems to tease Republicans every four years by making them think they can actually take the state’s 15 electoral votes out of the Democratic column, only for the Garden State to go Blue by a wide margin. The state government, both the governorship and the state Legislature, are controlled by the Democrats, as are both Senate seats, good indicators of the state’s political leanings. Congressionally, the state is about 50-50, with seven Democrats and six Republicans, a situation that shows the split between the Redder southern part of the state and the very Blue northern area close to New York City.