Montana

Outlook: Likely Republican

3 Electoral Votes (3 in 2000)
Bush won in 2004 by 20.5%

Montana is a state that has become a lighter hue of Red over the last four years. Starting with Brian Schweitzer’s gubernatorial victory in 2004 and continuing with Democrat Jon Tester’s victory in the 2006 Senate race over Conrad Burns, Montana has become competitive for both parties. The state Senate is in Democratic hands while the state House is Republican, as is the state’s lone member of Congress. Though George W. Bush won there by 25 percent in 2000 and by around 20 in 2004, Democrats have hope that one-party rule is a thing of the past.