Oregon

Outlook: Likely Democratic

7 Electoral Votes (7 in 2000)
Kerry won in 2004 by 4.16%

Oregon was one of the few states Al Gore won in 2000 that John Kerry carried by a larger margin in 2004. Considering the edge Democrats have in the state, with control of the state Assembly, the governorship, four of the state's five congressional districts, and one of the U.S. Senate seats, a larger victory margin than the 0.44 percent Gore won by in 2000 makes sense. Barack Obama cruised to an 18-point victory in the Oregon primary, leading to speculation that he could continue the streak of increasingly large Democratic wins.