Sabatos Crystal Ball

New Hampshire Races

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New Hampshire (01)

Outlook: Likely Republican


November 6, 2006 Update:

Rep. Jeb Bradley (R) will win reelection over Carol Porter-Shea (D). Some of our New Hampshire sources tell us that this race has tightened considerably in the past few weeks, and Porter-Shea’s strong anti-Iraq War views may actually be in line with a strong majority of the district’s voters. But Bradley is the more liberal of the two Granite State Republicans, and national Democrats stopped paying attention to this district when their favored candidate lost the primary. We expect Bradley to survive the Democratic wave in the Northeast.


Candidates

New Hampshire (02)

Outlook: Toss-up


This race is part of the Crystal Ball’s “Watch List” of the next 25 House races worth keeping an eye on.

November 6, 2006 Update:

Paul Hodes (D) will unseat Rep. Charlie Bass (R). State and national Democrats say that this race’s movement is the big surprise of the final week of the campaign. We would tend to agree that Hodes’ campaign has come together well thanks to the fundraising help of several 2008 Democratic contenders and a strong wind at Democrats’ backs in New England. Bass has made a political career out of stressing his independence, but his party affiliation may well sink him in the more Democratic of the Granite State’s two districts.


Candidates

Charles Bass (I) – Republican – Total Raised: $1,004,304.30 | Total Spent: $737,004.35
Website

Paul Hodes – Republican – Total Raised: $1,044,834.82 | Total Spent: $1,131,393.82
Website