Sabatos Crystal Ball

Idaho Races

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Idaho (01) (Open Seat)

Outlook: Toss-up


This race is part of the Crystal Ball’s “Ferocious FIFTY” list of the 50 most competitive House races in the nation.

November 8, 2006 Update:

Bill Sali (R) defeated Larry Grant (D) with 50% of the vote.

November 6, 2006 Update:

Larry Grant (D) will defeat Bill Sali (R). We recognize we are going severely against the grain in our prediction here, but we sense that the time is right for Idaho to finally elect a Democrat to, well, something. The mild-mannered Grant has used words from Sali’s enemies within the GOP to great effect in television advertisements, and the polls continue to show many voters undecided. To win, Grant would have to run up the score in northern Idaho and Boise to offset 80 percent-performing GOP areas around Boise, but if there’s any year this would happen, it would be 2006. Sali’s Club for Growth conservatism has turned off many in his party, and we could easily be proven wrong if the GOP base comes home on Election Day, but what the heck, we’ll pick the major upset anyway. What’s life without a few major risks?


Candidates

Larry Grant – Democrat – Total Raised: $ 448,248.06| Total Spent: $490,485.12
Website

Bill Sali – Republican – Total Raised: $904,166.01 | Total Spent: $858,145.98
Website