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Arizona

Outlook: Solid Republican

Arizona is a state with a long Republican history, one led by such figures as Barry Goldwater and now John McCain. Still, in recent years the state has become more moderate, with a popular Democratic governor and an even split in congressional representation in Washington. Bill Clinton even managed to win the state in the 1996 presidential election. Since then, George W. Bush won the state by ten points in 2004, a four-point improvement over his 2000 victory. With McCain as the Republican nominee for president, though, it will be tough for the Democrats to make a play for Arizona's ten electoral votes.

Current Congressional Delegation (2 Dem / 8 Rep / 0 Ind )

Sen. John McCain (R) - Won in 1998 with 69%.

Sen. Jon Kyl (R) - Won in 2000 with 79%.

Rep. Rick Renzi (R) - Won in 2002 with 49%.

Rep. Trent Franks (R) - Won in 2002 with 59%.

Rep. John B. Shadegg (R) - Won in 2002 with 66%.

Rep. Ed Pastor (D) - Won in 2002 with 67%.

Rep. J. D. Hayworth (R) - Won in 2002 with 60%.

Rep. Jeff Flake (R) - Won in 2002 with 64%.

Rep. Raul Grijalva (D) - Won in 2002 with 59%.

Rep. Jim Kolbe (R) - Won in 2002 with 63%.

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