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Larry J.Sabato's Crystal Ball
Monday, November 3, 2014
7:00 p.m. - 8:00 p.m.
Wilson Hall Room 402
University of Virginia
**Register Online

Join Professor Larry J. Saboto for an inside look at the upcoming elections in November.

The day before Americans go to the polls, University of Virginia’s Center for Politics Director, Larry Sabato and his Crystal Ball team will offer their predictions and analysis of the 2014 state elections.

In 2006 the Pew Research Center and the Pew Charitable Trusts’ Project for Excellence in Journalism recognized the Crystal Ball as the leader in the field of political predictors, noting that the site “came closer than any other of the top ten potential predictors this cycle.”

2008 was yet another banner year, as the Crystal Ball came the closest of any national prognosticator in predicting the results of the presidential race, while achieving a 100 percent accuracy rating by correctly predicting the result of every single gubernatorial and Senate race across the country.

In 2010, the Crystal Ball once again led the field, as the first to forecast a solid Republican takeover of the House. The Crystal Ball was also the only prognosticator to offer state legislative predictions, correctly predicting months in advance that Republicans would pick up 500+ state legislators and a dozen or more state legislative chambers.

In 2012 The Crystal Ball continued its record of success. In July, our election model projected a close popular vote with an Obama victory of about 1%. When others were predicting a Romney victory, we forecast a substantial Obama margin in the Electoral College, and ultimately missed just two states. We also made picks in every House, Senate and gubernatorial race and, combined with our Electoral College projections, had a 97% accuracy rate in forecasting the election.

In 2013, the Crystal Ball won a “Beast Best” award from The Daily Beast as one of the top political sites on the web.

Advance online registration is required.

For questions or additional information please contact Glenn Crossman at or 434-243-3540.